Sir Roy F. Harrod, 1900-1978
Roy Harrod taught economics, and produced his original contributions to the subject, at
Oxford between 1924 and his retirement in 1967. Elected to a Lectureship at Christ Church
Oxford in 1922, he then spent a few months at Cambridge with J.M. Keynes,
with whom he remained in close touch for the rest of Keynes' life, and whose official
biography he
published in 1951.
With Hicks and Meade he was among the
Oxford economists included in Keynes' circle of
correspondents. A founder of the Oxford Economics Research Group along with Hubert Henderson and others, his unique contribution
in urging a "dynamic" rather than "static" approach to economic issues
was an Oxford contribution, accepted only later among the Cambridge economists.
A delay of two years, (1928 to 1930) in the publication by Keynes, then editor of the Economic
Journal of Harrod's original "marginal revenue curve" denied the Oxford
economist the primacy in this field. This sad turn of circumstance was to repeat
itself several times in Harrod's career. Another independent discovery by Harrod (1931),
effectively the long-run envelope of short-run average cost curves, also went unrecognized
- the credit being awarded to Viner. In that same article, he laid
out the analytical foundations for the theory of imperfect
competition - but Joan Robinson took the prize. The laurels
for his remarkable multiplier-accelerator
model, developed in his Trade Cycle (1936), were given to the
mathematically-expressed versions by Samuelson and Hicks. The equations of the IS-LM model were written down by Harrod
(1937), but the (later) drawing of the diagram by Hicks robbed him of his claims to
precedence. His 1939 paper on entrepreneurial behavior - one of the first statements of
the idea that there are natural selection or "evolutionary" mechanisms towards profit-maximizing behavior - was largely ignored
and left for Alchian (1950) to propose.
Finally, another discovery gave him some name recognition: Harrod's (1939) "Essay in
Dynamic Theory". The idea, which marked the beginning of the modern theory of growth, had been followed up by
Evsey Domar, but at least he got his name on the model this time:
the "Harrod-Domar Model". In his 1948 book, Towards a Dynamic
Economics, as well as in a series of essays (1960, 1963, 1975) he developed this further, highlighting the instability
problem of this model and launching the entire post-war research program on economic growth - and, indeed, reviving business cycle theory as well.
His contributions to international trade (1933, 1958) and imperfect competition (1933,
1934, 1952) have also been given latter-day recognition. His less rigorous pieces on
economic policy (1963, 1965, 1968, 1969) were also remarkable. He was appointed a Reader
in Economics at Nuffield College, Oxford in 1952, and is remembered in a Fellowship in
Applied Economics at that College.
Outside economic theory Harrod's claim to prominence was his work on inductive logic
(1956), his role on the Statistical Staff and as personal adviser to Winston Churchill
during WW II, and his unofficial advice to Harold MacMillan as Prime Minister. He
also devoted great energy to the life of his Oxford college.
Major works of Roy F. Harrod
- "Review
of Mathematical Investigations in the Theory of Value and Prices, by Irving
Fisher", 1926, J of Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Mr. Robertson's Views on Banking Policy", 1927, Economica
- "Review
of The Road to Prosperity, by G. Paish",1927, J of Royal
Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of The Stabilisation of the Mark, by H. Schacht", 1927, J
of Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of Central Banks by C. H. Kisch and W. A. Elkin", 1928, J
of Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of The International Accounts by C. Lewis", 1928, J of
Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of General Economic History, by M. Weber", 1928, J of
Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of Essentials of International Trade, by S. Litman", 1928, J
of Royal Institute of International Affairs
- "Review
of Théorie du Protectionnisme et de l'ノchange Internationale, by M. Manoilesco",
1930,
- "Notes on Supply", 1930, EJ.
- "Progressive Taxation and Equal Sacrifice", 1930, EJ
- "The Law of Decreasing Costs", 1931, EJ.
- "Decreasing Costs: An addendum", 1932, EJ
- "A Further Note on Decreasing Costs", 1933, EJ
- International Economics, 1933.
- "Currency and Central
Banking", 1933, in G. D. H. Cole, What Everybody Wants to Know about
Money
- "Review
of Reconstruction by H. Macmillan", 1934, International Affairs
- "Professor Pigou's Theory of Unemployment", 1934, EJ
- "Doctrines of Imperfect Competition", 1934, QJE.
- "The Equilibrium of Duopoly", 1934, EJ.
- "The Expansion of Credit in an Advancing Economy", 1934, Economica
- "Review
of The Exchange Equalisation Account by N.F. Hall", 1935, International Affairs
- "Utilitarianism
Revised", 1936, Mind
- "Imperfect Competition and the Trade
Cycle", 1936, REStat
- "Review
of The Theory of International Trade by G. Haberler", 1936,
International Affairs
- "Another Fundamental Objection to Laissez-Faire", 1936, EJ
- The Trade Cycle: An essay, 1936.
- "Mr. Keynes and Traditional Theory", 1937, Econometrica.
- "Review
of Studies in the Theory of Economic Expansion by E. Lundberg",
1937, ZfN
- "Review
of Prosperity and Depression, by G. Haberler", 1938, International
Affairs
- "The Future of Gold", 1938, The Banker
- "Population and the Future", 1938, Political Quarterly
- "Scope and Method of Economics", 1938, EJ
- "Modern Population Trends", 1939, Manchester School
- "Population Trends and Problems", 1939, Lloyds BR
- "Price and Cost in Entrepreneurs' Policy", 1939, Oxford EP.
- "An Essay in Dynamic Theory", 1939, EJ (1938
Draft ed. D. Besomi)
- "Review of Value and Capital by John Hicks", 1939, EJ
- "Review
of The World Economic Survey by James Meade", 1939, International
Affairs
- "Review
of International Monetary Economics, by M. A. Heilperin",
1939, International Affairs
- "The Conscription of Wealth", 1939, Political Quaterly
- "Peace Aims and Economics", 1940, Manchester School
- "Memory",
1942, Mind
- "Full Employment and Security of Livelihood", 1943, EJ
- Britain's Future Population, 1943
- A Page of British Folly, 1946
- "John
Maynard Keynes", 1946, REStat
- "Review of Price Flexibility and Employment by O. Lange",
1946, EJ
- "Kelly, Aquinas and Interest-Taking", 1946, EJ
- "Anglo-American Cooperation", 1946, The Banker
- "Consequences of Nationalising the Bank of England", 1946, Political
Quaterly
- "Professor Hayek on Individualism", 1946, EJ
- Are These Hardships Necessary?, 1947
- "European Union", 1948, Lloyds BR
- Towards a Dynamic Economics: Some recent developments of economic
theory and their application to policy, 1948.
- "Measures to Prevent a Slump", 1949, Foreign Affairs
- "Wesley Mitchell in Oxford", 1949, EJ
- "European Economic Co-Operation: A British viewpoint", 1950, Public
Finance
- The Life of John Maynard Keynes, 1951.
- "Notes on Trade Cycle Theory", 1951, EJ
- And So It Goes On, 1951.
- Economic Essays, 1952.
- The Pound Sterling, 1952
- "Imbalance of International Payments", 1953, IMF Staff Papers
- "A Comment on Pilvin", 1953, QJE
- The Dollar, 1953.
- "Convertibility Problems", 1955, Econ Internazionale
- "Investment and Population", 1955, Revue Economique
- "The British Boom, 1954-5", 1956, EJ
- "Walras: A re-appraisal", 1956, EJ
- "On Lord Keynes", 1956, Indian JE
- Foundations of Inductive Logic, 1956.
- "Economics,
1900-1950", 1956, in A. Pryce-Jones, The New Outline of Modern Knowledge
- "Professor Fellner on Growth and Unemployment", 1957, Kyklos
- "The Role of Gold Today", 1958, South African JE
- "Factor Price Relations Under Free Trade", 1958, EJ.
- "Questions for a Stabilization Policy for Primary Producing
Countries", 1958, Kyklos
- The Pound Sterling, 1951-58, 1958.
- Policy Against Inflation, 1958.
- The Prof: A personal memoir of Lord Cherwell, 1959.
- "Keynes, Keynesians, and Mr.
Jacobsson: A Note", 1959, Kyklos
- "Domar and Dynamic Economics", 1959, EJ
- "Second Essay on Dynamic Theory", 1960, EJ.
- "Real Balances: A further comment", 1961, EJ
- "A Plan for Increasing Liquidity: A critique", 1961, Economica
- "The Neutrality of Improvements", 1961, EJ
- "Review of Sraffa's Production of Commodities by Means of
Commodities", 1961, EJ
- Topical Comment: Essays in dynamical analysis applied, 1961.
- "The Pound at Home and Abroad", 1962, Kyklos
- "The British Balance of Payments", 1962, WWA
- "Growth and Liquidity", 1962, Rivista d'Econ Politica
- "Dynamic Theory and
Planning", 1962, Kyklos
- "Themes in Dynamic Theory", 1963, EJ.
- The British Economy, 1963.
- Growth Policy for Europe, 1963
- "Retrospect on Keynes", 1963, in Lekachman, editor, Keynes's General Theory.
- "Are Monetary and Fiscal Policies Enough?", 1964, EJ
- Plan to Increase International Monetary Liquidity, 1964.
- Reforming the World's Money, 1965.
- "Optimum Investment for Growth", 1966, in Problems of
Economic Dynamics and Planning
- "International Liquidity", 1966, Scottish JPE
- "Methods of Securing Equilibrium", 1967, Kyklos
- "Assessing the Trade Returns", 1967, EJ
- Towards a New Economic Policy, 1967.
- "Increasing Returns", 1967, in Kuenne, editor, Monopolistic
Competition Theory
- "What is a Model?", 1968, in Wolfe, editor, Value, Capital
and Growth
- "The Devaluation of Sterling", 1968, WWA
- Dollar-Sterling Collaboration, 1968.
- Money, 1969.
- "Pure Theory of Growth
Economics", 1974, ZfN
- Economic Dynamics, 1975.
Resources on Roy Harrod
- HET Pages: Keynesian Business Cycle Theory,
Keynesian Growth Theory, Maximization Debates, Inflation and Interest Rates
- The Roy
Harrod Homepage set up by Daniele Besomi, including:
- University of Tokyo Exhibition: John M. Keynes/Roy F.
Harrod, Letters Memoranda
- Daniele Besomi's articles on
Roy Harrod (in PDF format)
- "From The Trade Cycle to the 'Essay
in Dynamic Theory'. The Harrod-Keynes correspondence, 1937-1938", HOPE,
1995
- The Making of Harrod's Dynamics
(Ph.D. thesis -- big but good!), 1996
- "Introduction to 'An Essay in Dynamic
Theory': 1938 Draft by Roy F. Harrod", HOPE, 1996
- "An Additional Note on the
Harrod-Keynes Correspondence", 1996, HOPE
- "Statics and Dynamics in Harrod's Trade
Cycle", ROPE, 1997
- "Harrod, Sir
Roy", in T. Cate, editor,
Encyclopedia of Keynesian Economics, 1997
- "Harrod and the Oxford Economists'
Research Group's Inquiry on Prices and Interest, 1936-1939", Oxford
EP, 1998.
- "Harrod and the Econometricians:
Instability, Time-lags and the Foundations of Economic Dynamics",
1998, in G. Rampa, L. Stella, and A. Thirlwall, eds., Economic Dynamics, Trade and
Growth
- "Failing to Win Consent. Harrod's Dynamics in the Eyes of his
Readers", 1998, in G. Rampa, L. Stella
and A. Thirlwall, eds., Economic Dynamics, Trade and Growth
- "Harrod's instability principle and trade
cycles", 1998, in P. O'Hara, editor, Encyclopedia of Political
Economy
- "Harrod on the classification of technological
progress. The origin of a wild-goose chase", BNLQR, 1999
- "On the Spread of an Idea:
The Strange Case of Mr. Harrod and the Multiplier", 2000, HOPE
- "Joan Robinson on Harrod's Dynamics"
by F.C. Maclachlan, 1999
- "Divergent Growth and Endogenous Cycles: A
Keynesian reconciliation of Harrod and Hicks" by Steve Keen
- "Harrod versus
Thirlwall: A Reassessment of Export-Led Growth" by Jamee Moudud.
- "The Ghost of Financing Gap: How the Harrod-Domar Growth Model Still Haunts
Development Economics" by William Easterly
- "A Sintese da Teoria Geral do
Emprego, dos Juros e da Moeda segundo Roy Harrod em "Mr.
Keynes and Traditional Theory"", by Claudia Heller, 1999
- Harrod Page at Laura Forgette
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